The gotcha dance

Tyler Durden: The Experts Have No Idea How Many COVID-19 Cases There Are – “One need not know anything about viruses to know from the beginning of the panic that the process of collecting data for government policymakers tends to be a biased and makeshift undertaking.” That means skepticism and care in interpretation should rule the day. The Nevada Independent has some of the actual ‘government’ numbers and they tell a story at odds with the panic.

Megan Messerly: Coronavirus contextualized, 4th edition: Exploring, through data, COVID-19 in Nevada and beyond – “Below, we take a look at what we do and don’t know about coronavirus in Nevada, how Nevada stacks up against other states and projections for the future.” 12% of tests come back positive with less than 3 cases per thousand detected in even the hottest areas; utilization of beds, icu, and ventilators runs at about half of capacity; Nevada has a per capita death rate of 53 per million or 0.0053 percent. “People who die after contracting COVID-19 tend to be older, overwhelmingly men in Clark.” Hospitalization runs at 10% to 30% of the 12% positive tests or less than 4% of those tested. A key issue is that the numbers are small which is why there is so much variance by area. This is rather typical of when a signal gets buried in the noise and it is difficult to get good information from it.

Charles Rotter: The Pandemic: Cardinal Numbers No One Talks About – “What’s the reasoning behind how we may have gotten there? And what’s the evidence?” … “It’s time to focus on a new set of numbers.

Monica Showalter: Press does the ‘gotcha’ dance over ‘Trump-touted’ NIH hydroxychloroquine non-recommendation, flunks basic reporting – “The headlines are distorted. First, Trump most certainly didn’t tout the drug as a proven treatment; he called it a potential treatment with a “real chance” of being a good one and didn’t rule out there weren’t many.” i.e. it’s the gotcha’ dance that is important, not truthful and accurate reporting.

“It’s telling that in nearly all the press reports, the link to the NIH statement goes only to the front page, not the actual recommendations page. That sounds like a media spin effort to get a gotcha dance going, without benefit of precise facts.

Update: And a Twitter denizen named ScottFantasy has found that the press is making a concerted propaganda effort to claim, in lockstep, that the combination offers “no benefit, more deaths.”

It’s all media spin designed to demoralize COVID-19 patients who might want to try the drug or who have no options other than right-to-try. … Not a single thing in some of these reports rings true.

Victor Davis Hanson: Suppression of Expression Obscures the Truth About the Virus – “What explained the paradox of near paranoia to some inquiries but magnanimous tolerance of other absurdities? Usually, one of three explanations suffice—and often all three together.”

“Lost in all this conundrum were legitimate questions of the virus’s genesis, spread, and innate nature, China’s responsibility for deceiving the world and its culpability for thousands of deaths, the chronic confusion of bureaucracies—and any sense that the coronavirus was a deadly collective enemy rather than a partisan wedge.

Mark Landsbaum: This is Who the Hell They Are – “Mr. Lemon reportedly directed his question to armed protesters who, despite the nation’s lockdown and stay-at-home orders, had gone public to demand their constitutional rights to assemble, to lodge their grievances with their government and to arm themselves. That would be the First and Second Amendments, respectively.”

Margot Cleveland: 7 Devastating Revelations About Crossfire Hurricane In New Releases – “To a new Senate website, Sen. Lindsey Graham’s staff uploaded the four Carter Page FISA applications, which were recently further declassified.”

John C. Wohlstetter: Emergency Authority: The Katrina Conundrum – “President Trump has refused to fall into the traps set for former President George W. Bush.” … “Decoupling power from responsibility poses two alternative dangers: where power exceeds responsibility, reckless behavior is encouraged; and where responsibility exceeds power, timorous behavior is encouraged.

“In the Katrina catastrophe, the decoupling of power from responsibility carried two terrible consequences: first, because state power exceeded the level of responsibility state and local officials were prepared to accept, the most helpless residents of the doomed city were left to fend for themselves when evacuation was ordered; second, because federal officials had less de jure power than the de factoresponsibility that public opinion saddled the president with, federal officials were excessively cautious, awaiting a state transfer of power that did not come in time to avert anarchy in the streets and shelters.

It’s the gotcha dance: political supremacy outranks all else.

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